Monster Hunter Nation

My Election Predictions

I was talking to Mike Kupari about this yesterday, mostly being my usual optimistic self, and telling him don’t worry, the election wasn’t going to be Donald Trump versus Bernie Sanders, so there was no reason to flee and build a compound in Costa Rica just yet. He suggested I write it up for the blog, so what the heck, here goes.

Note, these aren’t endorsements, they’re predictions. So you don’t need to yell at me for not backing your dude. Yes, I’m sure your Candidate X is super awesome, and I’m a stupid jerk face for not seeing it.

My prediction is that the republican nominee will be Ted Cruz. The democrat nominee will be Hillary Clinton.  At this early point in the campaigns I got Dole, Bush, and Romney right. McCain surprised me, but I think I was just blinded by my dislike for him. I predicted Obama as soon as he got done with that first original DNC speech, and sadly got that one right. Though I was surprised how fast he usurped the Clinton machine.

Here is my reasoning. First, the democrat side is really easy to predict. You’ve got one batty old socialist and a slightly battier old socialist. Though I’ve been told that Hillary Clinton isn’t actually a socialist because the way she loves taking bribes is very capitalistic. Good point.

Bernie is nuts, but he’s honest. He skips right over all the typical democrat feel good, heart string tugging reasons why they think the government should control everything, and gets right to the government controlling everything. He is economically illiterate. Those Occupy Democrat memes going around Facebook where they are quoting Bernie fucking up some basic economic principle are literally painful. Every time you share one of those, an accountant dies.

The only reason Bernie is actually polling surprisingly decently is because many democrats sense just how lackluster Hillary is. However, Hillary is still going to get the nomination. Because as much as democrats like to think that they’re all about tolerance, there is something incredibly emasculating about watching your candidate get chased off the podium of his own rally. There’s a reason the Black Lives Matter protestors haven’t invaded Hillary’s space, because we all suspect she’d shriek “GUARDS! SEIZE THEM!” super villain style, and then have them devoured by her nanotech enhanced attack weasels.

Hillary may be a liar and a cheat, and she’d sell your children’s organs to Russian mobsters to make five bucks, but at least she’s not a total chicken shit. So, barring the highly unlikely event that Hillary gets arrested by the FBI for one of her multitude of scandals between now and the primaries, Hillary is it.

On the GOP side it gets really hard to predict just because there are a slew of candidates. Right now I see it going Cruz, with an outside chance of Rubio or Walker. Yes, I know that isn’t what the polls say right now, but this is how I see it playing out.

Trump is a stunt candidate. He’s sitting around twenty percent, lots of people are flipping out about it, and the media is loving that. But the rest of the GOP can’t stand him. As we head into the primaries we always do this thing, where somebody will pop up, the voters will say Oooooh New and Shiny, they’ll surge, and then once people have a chance to actually look at what they’ve really done, they come back down.

The thing everybody needs to remember is that every single election cycle we go through this period where the media tries to pick the eventual GOP candidate for us. Their criteria are A. Can the democrat eventually beat them? And B. If they do somehow win, will they not rock the boat too bad for democrats? McCain is the greatest example of that ever. This time around their obvious pick was Jeb Bush. For weeks it was Jeb, Jeb, Jeb. Only Jeb was dull and Trump makes great TV. If you look at early polling it almost always correlates with how much media attention the candidate is receiving. So, a candidate polling at 5% is usually getting 5% of the coverage, etc.

Trump comes along, he’s bombastic, unapologetic, and simply does not give a shit. The real lesson to be taken from Trump and Bernie is that many Americans are so damned tired of the establishment and the media that they’ll root for anybody, no matter how crazy they are, if they’ll just quit sucking up and actually stand for something.

But here is the problem with Trump, and it isn’t his personality or being willing to insult people (because if I’m judging these people on personality, I’d probably get along with him in person way better than most of the others, and the Rosie line made me do a spit take). It is because he’s been a Republican less time than Bernie has been a Democrat. When I’ve talked to the hard core Stormtrumpers they’ll say he’s great on the border! Okay, but what about his record on abortion, guns, crony capitalism, government intervention, eminent domain, and single payer healthcare? Suck, suck, suck… oh but on that one he evolved… This week.

For the people convinced that Trump is the Real Conservative in the race, and that the other 15 are all RINOs, put down the crack pipe. This is the same guy who a couple of years ago was outraged about violent videogames and saying how somebody needed to do something about them. Yeah, there’s a dude totally grounded in the Bill of Rights.

And before any fanatical Trump fan yells at me again about Megan Kelly was mean and how I just listen to FOX News, I cancelled cable like a year ago, so I don’t watch TV news unless I’m on it. Sheesh. The hard core Trump fans remind me a lot of the old hard core Ron Paul fans.

So with all the attention in the world, he’s leading at 20%, but that’ll die down as the novelty wears off. Most people aren’t single issue voters, and they’ve already put up with two terms from a malignant narcissist, why pick another? Trump will eventually drop out and use his celebrity to make even more money, much of which he’ll donate to democrats and democrat causes.

Then it gets really complicated.

Carly Fiorina did really well on the first debate, and then kicked Chris Matthews’s ass (see that thing above about people being hungry for anyone who will stand up to the media). I’ve got several friends who are hard core Fiorina supporters, but I have another friend who worked for her at HP who really found her business practices shady, but I’ve not had a chance to delve into that enough to comment.

A lot of people are thinking it would be a good match up because Fiorina is a woman and Hillary is a sort of woman shaped carbon based life form. And it could possibly derail Hillary’s main campaign platform of Vote For Me Or You’re a Misogynist Pig. Which will probably be similar to Obama’s Vote For Me or You’re Racist and Vote For Me or You’re Racist 2: Extra Racist.

However, according to the media we all know that Republican women aren’t real women. Just like Ben Carson, Tim Scott, Mia Love, Clarence Thomas, Condi Rice, and Walter Williams aren’t actually black people either.

The strategic problem for Fiorina is that because she is a Republican woman, and she has done well, expect the media to go full Palin on her. If she does have any questionable business dealings, they’ll be huge headlines for weeks on end (unlike deleted emails, missing classified documents, and getting ambassadors killed, because what difference does it make?). She’s still a possibility, but if there is anything even vaguely shady or potentially shady, the media will use it as a club to discredit her. Nothing freaks out the media worse than female or minority republicans.

Once people get tired of the Trump show, that hunger for bucking the establishment and telling the media to bugger off will still be there. And this is why I think Ted Cruz will move into the lead. He’s been a pain in the establishment’s ass. The left wing media hates him. And you can usually tell who the media really fears by how much they try to ignore them, or talk about them, rather than to them (gee whiz, I can’t imagine where I came up with that theory!).

Cruz has an elected track record. He’s got actual conservative cred. He’s one of the Tea Party generation that’s been replacing the greying and thankfully dying off big government GOP. Is Cruz a fantastic candidate? Nope. His track record isn’t perfect and he looks a lot like a young Grandpa Munster. Once they can’t safely ignore him, expect the media to go after him extra hard. The thing Cruz has going for him on that front is that they’ve been trying for years, and they’ve already spilled every bit of dirty laundry they had to discredit him back during the government shut down fight.

The biggest hurdle Cruz has won’t be the DNC or their tame news media, it will be the McCains, Hatches, and Grahams of the GOP. Because they really want a Jeb or a Christie. (note, I didn’t put Lindsey Graham in that list of potential presidents, because nobody, and I’m including Lindsey Graham, think that Lindsey Graham can be president).

On Jeb Bush… Ain’t gonna happen. He was the media’s initial pick, and it was even more painfully obvious than when all the democrats showed up in our open primaries to “cross the aisle” to nominate McCain, and then promptly ditched him for Obama on election day. But Jeb’s got zilch. Actual conservatives don’t like him, the Tea Party hates him. On the issues, he’s mumble mumble amnesty and mumble mumble that’s not what Common Core was supposed to mumble. Seriously, do you know any actual voter who likes Jeb? Can you think of one? I can’t. Jeb has all the suck of the old, dying, big government GOP, so the conservative base will be even less enthusiastic for him than they were for Romney and McCain, with the added benefit that his last name is Bush, so automatically half the country hates him.

Chris Christie is beloved by the media because he’s loud, and the biggest big government big republican they can have lose to Hillary, and if Christie happened to somehow beat Hillary, then they’d only be stuck with a republican who was electable in New Jersey. Christie came to prominence because of that same phenomena that is floating Trump now—which I think will eventually give it to Cruz—in that he’s willing to be disagreeable. Sadly, he’ll buck the media, but he won’t buck the establishment because Christie is the establishment. By volume, he’s half the establishment. And I’m saying that as a 6’5” 300 pounder myself.

On the far side of Christie is Rand Paul. Now personally, I really like Rand. I think he’s actually got real convictions and he’s got guts. As hipsters where whining in one tweet about the horrible evil Tea Party, and their next tweet was lamenting how bad it was the government was reading their emails, a guy elected by the Tea Party was the one fighting to get the NSA to quit reading their mail.

If you had to name three elected officials in the GOP who have been the biggest pain in the establishment GOP’s collective ass over the last few years, it would be Paul, Cruz, and Mike Lee (that’s my senator! I don’t claim Hatch). Luckily, I think Lee is too antisocial to ever run for president, which is good, because I want him to eventually replace Mitch McConnell and his weird turtle face.

But between Rand and Cruz, Cruz is polling better now, and seems to be having a better run of it. Gut feeling, barring a really good showing, I think Rand is principled enough that he’ll drop out after the first couple of primaries to not split the Tea Party contingent, and the liberty minded republicans who are backing Rand will go to Cruz. That’ll be the jump. Of the other candidates, who else would they support? A regular Rand ally, or one of the bigger government types? That’s a no brainer and several percentage points.

That’s if the Tea Party side coalesces into one favorite. The establishment side is split too, so it’ll be interesting if they all get behind one person.

There are two others that I still see as strong possibilities, Rubio and Walker.

Scott Walker is an election winner and a union buster, two things that really appeal to the base. He had a pretty vanilla showing in the last debate. He’s squishy on some core issues, but the feeling I get is that for some reason he’s a relative unknown to most primary voters. Which again shows that who the media most fears, they ignore, until they can’t, then they lie. They did the lie/fear thing in Wisconsin, but at the national level it has mostly been ignore. So if Walker does something really interesting enough to sneak past the Trump circus sucking up all the coverage and oxygen in the room, he could still have a shot.

Rubio is an interesting one. If you’d asked me four years ago who I thought the GOP front runner would be today, he probably would have been my call. It seems like he’s got a lot of national electability, but his problem is that he straddles the line between big government establishment republican and small government conservatism way too much. Note, to all aspiring young politicians, if perpetual loser John McCain wants you to team up with him on a big controversial issue, RUN AWAY! The whole fishing boat, speeding tickets, NYT expose helped him more than anything else. It humanized him and made him relatable. But there are too many issues he has sucked on with the base, so I think he’s going to fall by the wayside.

If several of the candidates drop out and toss their support behind Rubio or Walker, it could very well go their way.

Cruz and Rubio are both Latinos. Some republicans seem to think that is like a magic bullet, and suddenly republicans are going to get the Latino vote. That’s stupid. Just stop. The concept of “Latino” as a demographic is horribly flawed and unrealistic to begin with. How in the hell can you expect to stick people whose ancestors originate from one whole continent, the bottom half of another continent, and the west end of a third continent, islands in every hemisphere, spread over like 30 countries, in America between one and ten generations, and expect them to be this homogenous voting block?

Though since Cruz and Rubio are both Cuban, I expect to see the media declare that Cubans aren’t real Latinos. Sort of like when the government declared that Portuguese are Latino, and I was all like MWA HA HA HAAAAA I’M OFFICIALLY A MINORITY and they were all like oh shit what have we done?

On the same note, some republicans seem to think that if we run Ben Carson, republicans will suddenly get the black vote. I like Ben Carson. I think he’s probably a really good man. I also think focusing on his race is an incredibly stupid philosophy, and one that the democrats will beat republicans at every time. Identity politics are stupid democrat games. Don’t be surprised when you play their game and lose. That’s because they make the rules and game is rigged. You want to win, convince people that you’re worth voting for.

The problem with Ben Carson is that he’s not a politician, and it shows. You’d think being a non-politician at a time when everybody hates politicians would be a winning proposition, but they still have to know how to play the game. Trump isn’t a politician either, but he is a consummate game player. Fiorina isn’t a politician, but judging by how she rolled Jabba the Matthews, she’s got game. As a brain surgeon Carson is probably the smartest guy on the stage, but he’s not a political animal. Hillary has 1/3 of Carson’s IQ and none of his humility, but my gut feeling is that she’d walk all over him in a debate. Then Carson had to go and suck on guns, which is a kiss of death issue with the base.

Kaish… I’m not even going to bother to look on Google to see if I spelled that right. I have no idea why he is there. Non-entity. He could be the best candidate ever, who is right on every single issue, but I wouldn’t know, and neither do any of the voters. Perry just can’t seem to shine. Lots of Texans seem to love him, but he’s got zero momentum. Jindal, same thing. Barring any sort of super brilliant coup maneuver, I don’t see these guys moving up.

Lindsey Graham… Holy shit, just shoot me now. If Lindsey Graham got elected president I’d volunteer for that one way trip to Mars, and if that was a no go, I’d build my own rocket. He’s everything wrong with John McCain and the GOP, only he’s not a war hero, and has a lisp.

Again, these are just my guesses. I could be totally wrong. I also predicted Romney was going to win in the electoral college (to be fair, he only lost by like 600k spread across four swing states, so it wasn’t like I totally blew it). But the democrat side is going to be Hillary, unless she is arrested and can’t make bail.  Republican side, I figure Cruz, with an outside chance of Fiorina, Rubio, or Walker.

However you look at it, no matter who wins, we’re going to end up with somebody better suited for the job than Barack Obama. Sadly, I’m including Bernie Sanders in that equation, and that’s really saying something.

The Aloha Snackbar
How to get personalized autographed copies of my books
Francis W. Porretto
Guest

From your lips to God’s ear, Larry.

David MacKinnon
Guest
Should have waited just one more day Larry! Watching the breaking news that the FBI seized Hillary’s E-mail and thumb drives. I never thought she was ever hiding her dirty digital deeds from Congress or Republicans. If the press can suppress mass killings of babies for spare parts for profit, they could shield Hillary from this. No, IMHO she was trying to hide her corruption from the powers that be in the Obama administration. Its no secret (ow, pun!) that Valerie Jarrett and the Clintons hate each other . Its like THUNDERDOME politics! Two Progressive Feminist enter, one leaves Federal… Read more »
Shadowdancer
Guest

Yeah, as predicted they spun it to being anti-medicine, anti-women’s rights crap.

styrgwillidar
Guest

My guess is that the Obama Admin is pressuring Hillary to quit of her own volition, ratcheting up the pressure. Hence the leak from the FBI that work related emails were recovered on her server. She probably has too much on too many people (and committed donors) for Obama to let the FBI investigation turn into actual charges- but the threat and pressure are there. My prediction is that he’ll continue the push to slide Biden into the race as the favorite– on the condition Biden picks a rabid left-winger as VP, Warren.

Christopher M. Chupik
Guest
Christopher M. Chupik

“devoured by her nanotech enhanced attack weasels”

Stop it. You’re making her sound cooler than she really is. 😛

Zsuzsa
Guest

I know. I read that line and thought, “Hillary has nanotech-enhanced attack weasels? I may have to take another look at her!”

Bruce
Guest

That could cost you your eyes…

snelson134
Guest

Or turn you to stone…..

Christopher M. Chupik
Guest
Christopher M. Chupik

Nanotech enhanced weasels ripped my flesh!

nomen nescio
Guest

DEMOCRAT GIR-R-RLS with a teeny little mustache
DEMOCRAT GIR-R-RLS in the NGO…

Av willis
Guest

That might have been the most metal thing I’ve heard all day

David Krumm
Guest

lol – when I read that line I thought “Wait! I finally understand the Hillary appeal. It’s some kinda freaky kin k thing!” I’d always assumed she was a *weak* candidate because she’s evil and completely unlikable. Those are her strengths.

TMLutas
Guest
Miguel
Guest

It is gonna be gladiatorial… not fun to watch either.

Keith Glass
Guest

Politicians going Full Gladiator ?

Remind me to stock up on popcorn and fixings. Several 50-pound sacks, and 100 or so pounds of butter should do . . .

WyrdBard
Guest

Run off by right of arms… this has some appeal though I’m not sure how much merit it has.

Bruce
Guest

Only if they don’t go with period costumes. Especially for Hillary. (shudder)

jdgalt
Guest

Where’s Jesse Ventura when we need him?

David MacKinnon
Guest

Living tax free in Mexico, squatting on a dead American hero’s money. You know, taken from his widow and fatherless children.

For real….

Christopher M. Chupik
Guest
Christopher M. Chupik

Spouting conspiracy theories and suing the widow of a genuine hero.

Keith Glass
Guest

I tend to agree that it’s likely to be Cruz. I halfway expect a Cruz-Fiorina ticket.

If it’s Walker. . . .Cruz will not be on the ticket. Carly still might be Veep. My evil fantasy comes when the first Supreme Court Justice retires or dies: President Walker, flanked by Attorney-General Gowdy . . . are in the Rose Garden announcing their nominee. . .and Ted Cruz walks into view. . .

TheObserver
Guest

In the alternate capitol of Denver Colorado after Washington DC is burned down by the Iranian nuke.

kensieg
Guest

Why Denver? Why not Dallas?

Stoutcat
Guest

Oh, holy mother of sweetness and light; Ted Cruz on the Supreme Court. I love that idea so much I am speechless.

Da Beav
Guest

The thought of the response from the so-called press and the Dumbocrats has made my trousers a bit snug.

Joshua
Guest

I prefer Napolitano and Paul, with Cruz in the executive. But I won’t quibble.

Bibliotheca Servare
Guest

Oh my word…imagine…Cruz and Scalia…in the SAME ROOM. It would either explode or…I don’t even… Cruz on the Supreme Court…yes please! Just have clean-up crews ready for all the squishy messes made by leftist heads going *pop!* and splattering everywhere. *happy sigh* We can even “donate” the “legally obtained” “tissue” to research companies! Shoot…that was meant to be funny, but now I’m nauseous. 🙁

Da Beav
Guest

Accidentally voted that down. Stupid Nook!

gmmay
Guest

It would certainly increase the carbon footprint of the Donks from all of the spontaneous combustion.

Tregonsee
Guest

I tend to lean to Walker as the best of the GOP governors in the race. It is hard not to like Fiorina, and IF nothing comes up significant, I fully expect her to be the VP. I can’t see any major party ever having two white, straight males on the ticket again.

Joshua
Guest

It’s hard to like her after you spend 15 minutes researching how she ran Lucent, Compaq and HP all into the ground, and then stepped away pretending like it wasn’t her fault.

Sure, she says all the right things in debates, but she’s a frighteningly incompetent executive.

Andy
Guest

And if she hadn’t done the things she did, they would have died on the vine 15 years ago. And I say that as someone who was “fired” by her actions.

Joshua
Guest

Unless you’ve got some kind of inside info that everyone else doesn’t know shoot, I’m calling BS. She was a laughing stock in the tech industry. When people started talking about her candidacy, I thought they were joking. Especially after she lost her House bid.

TRX
Guest

I got all the IT industry weeklies and newsletters back then. If there was anyone who *didn’t* hate Fiorina they weren’t saying much. Even the stockholders were spooked.

You weren’t the only one who thought her candidacy was a joke…

Matt Caron
Guest

This. I work in a small tech firm. Everyone over 30 remembers when she came in, cut all R&D at HP while changing the slogan to “invent”, then getting fired when the board realized that she’d destroyed HP as a center of jnvention.Accurate or not, this perception has caused her to be one if the most loathed executives in modern history, right up there with Bob Nardelli.

Basically, she’s unelectable in tech, so, if she gets the nod, the socialist ones will vote Democrat and everyone else will vote Libertarian.

ConceptJunkie
Guest

Biden/Webb 2016. You read it here first. Hey, it could happen.

Can you imagine Biden in a debate with Cruz, Fiorina, or Walker? They’d have to spot him 5 questions off the top.

John Van Stry
Guest

I’m not so sure on Hillary anymore. She’s got too many enemies in the DNC, and I think she’s got too much baggage now as well. Just as Obama eased her out last time, I really think someone else is going to ease her out this time.
Not quite sure yet, but again, I’m not so sure Hillary is going to get the nod.

Zsuzsa
Guest
The sense I’m getting from the Left side of aisle is that they really, really want an alternative to Hillary. Even her most hard-core supporters can’t name an accomplishment of hers other than having been born with an XX genotype. Plus, this is a party of novelty junkies who decided she was too uncool 8 years ago; she hasn’t gotten any younger and hipper since then. Yeah, everyone is sticking with her now, but after the first high-profile endorsement goes to Fauxahauntas or Crazy Uncle Joe, I predict dozens following. Hillary’s only hope is to hang onto the idea that… Read more »
TallDave
Guest

Their problem is that Obama could hide his far-left ideology behind centrist platitudes and of course the press was in love with Historic First Black President. Warren or Sanders will have a much harder time.

I think people underestimate the chances Biden will win the nomination. Hillary is too corrupt and the others are too extreme or totally unknown.

ConceptJunkie
Guest

I don’t know if Biden could secure the nomination. Even the left knows he’s senile. Bernie Sanders on the other hand is gaining a lot of traction with his brilliant political philosophy of “free everything for everyone”.

I’ve been on the fence as to whether the country is beyond the point of no return for several years, and if he’s nominated, and Finagle-forbid, elected, it will be a foregone conclusion.

LittleRed1
Guest

And the MediaMatters/former ACORN money is pouring in against Webb and Sanders. If Biden tosses hat in officially, it could get really strange, in terms of who is protesting who with whose money.

ConceptJunkie
Guest

Yeah, watching the lefties eat their own at the Sanders event in Seattle was very popcorn-worthy. Now that their Messiah and Prophet is out of play, and there’s not another obvious one to replace him yet, at least there will be some entertainment value in the next 15 months.

Stephen St. Onge
Guest

        Hillary’s accomplishments?  She spotted Bill as a comer way back when, and snagged him.

nomen nescio
Guest

She also successfully ran Bill’s “bimbo eruptions” war room twenty years ago, sending out James Carville and George Stephanopoulos every Sunday morning to go on the talk shows and slander whichever woman had accused Bill of rape that week. “When you drag a dollar bill through a trailer park you never know what you’ll find!” Clearly this is a defender of the poor and the powerless, and a defender of women from those who would abuse them. Clearly, sir.

TRX
Guest

Every election, I stand there with my card and marker and think, “three hundred million Americans, and it comes down to choosing between these two (or three) bozos?”

I still advocate the Powerball election system. When the balls generate a valid Social Security Number, that’s who fills the office. Doesn’t matter if they’re senile, imprisoned, “abled”, or whatever. Yes, we’d get some bad politicians that way… but realistically, how much worse could they be?

Bibliotheca Servare
Guest

ROFL. I’m totally laughing. No those aren’t tears and I’m not weeping. Seriously. *suspicious sniffle* Anyway, how sad is it that I actually went “hmm…that…might…” before smacking myself? It really *is* that bad. :-/

PS: what about SSN’s that are stolen/manufactured for…”undocumented immigrants”? :-p

Nighthawk
Guest

Then we might get an actual dead guy for president.

nomen nescio
Guest

We could do worse than King Log. And we have.

ConceptJunkie
Guest

Well, to be fair, with the Powerball system the people who are really in charge wouldn’t be any different.

TheWriterInBlack
Guest

The “math lesson” in The Magnificent Seven may come into play here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t0vqQjaXLOU

Christopher M. Chupik
Guest
Christopher M. Chupik

Yeah, even the hardcore Dems are getting tired of the “inevitable” Hillary.

PavePusher
Guest

No matter who wins, the USA loses.

TheObserver
Guest

The USA is lost regardless. You don’t kill 50 million human beings for sake of convenience and escape judgement.

Joseph Capdepon II
Guest

What are you babbling about?

Steve Johnson
Guest

Abortion, Joseph.

Joseph Capdepon II
Guest

So God is going to punish the United States for abortion? Is that what he is saying?

SJW75126
Guest

God is the universe’s number 1 abortionist. 2/3rds of embryos don’t make it to term.

snelson134
Guest

The problem is you ain’t God, to make that decision. What I want to know is when you’re going to pardon Mengele? After all, he said the same thing.

SJW75126
Guest

It just religious superstition which is fine as long as we don’t use it to constrain the liberty of the non superstitious – but alas the religious right thinks their mythology should have the force of law. Reminds me of a line from one of my favorite songs:

“So youre screaming bloody murder about the Taliban regime
For subjugating women and being too extreme
And basing legislation on some ancient, holy book
Does that sound a bit familiar?
Heres a mirror, have a look! “

gmmay
Guest

The concept of protecting life is hardly confined to the Religious Right or mythology.

snelson134
Guest

Actually, the only reason anyone screams about the Taliban is that their religion says kill all non Muslims; there is nothing in the New Testament that says anything remotely like that, liar.

Joshua
Guest

The religious right thinks no such thing. Prove it, retract it, or stand denounced as a vile liar.

SJW75126
Guest

LOL @ vile liar.

Doug Loss
Guest

We all notice that you didn’t attempt to provide evidence for your delusional assertions.

Nathan
Guest

I wonder what that lyricist believes about Das Capital…

Patrick Chester
Guest

IOW, you try to claim the people you hate are like the Taliban so you can feel all righteous. Except if they were like the Taliban you’d be fleeing for your life.

Achillea
Guest

numbers, I’m a pro-choice, pro-SSM Wiccan. I have no use for the Christianist loonies pounding away on their keyboards screaming ZOMG! MOLOCH-WORSHIPPING BABYKILLERZ!!1!!!!1!, but to equate them with murderous assholes who are actually killing babies (and women, and gays, and anyone at all they deem insufficiently pious) often in particularly gruesome ways, shoots right past stupid and into total idiocy. That kind of asshattery is exactly why SJWs are due only contempt and mockery. You might as well be typing with a crayon. Get back to me when Operation Rescue starts lopping off heads.

Wes S
Guest

Oh, look, somebody scribbled something on the wall over here.

“Mene, mene, tekel upharsin.”

Whatever could *that* mean . . .

Bibliotheca Servare
Guest
I wrote a long reply to you, and the internet are it. I clicked post comment, and…poof. Anyway, I upvoted you. A!Eric has many wounds to heal and far to go before we can say that the Constitution is more than a shredded piece of paper again. And our descendants will look back on the innocent, helpless babes we’ve slaughtered, or permitted to be slaughtered, in the name of “equality” and recoil in disgust. Oh, and “SJWnumbers”? The Democratic party is the one that supports suppressing puberty and mutilating little boys and girls. That mirror? Have a look in it… Read more »
Bibliotheca Servare
Guest
I edited it, but, again, the comment system ate it. Here: I wrote a long reply to you, and the internet ate it. I clicked post comment, and…poof. Anyway, I upvoted you. America has many wounds to heal and far to go before we can say that the Constitution is more than a shredded piece of paper again. And our descendants will look back on the innocent, helpless babes we’ve slaughtered, or permitted to be slaughtered, in the name of “equality” and recoil in disgust. Oh, and “SJWnumbers”? The Democratic party is the one that supports suppressing puberty and mutilating… Read more »
Mike
Guest
Republicans: Walker as President, Nikki Haley as VP (do you really think the Confederate flag thing happened in a political vaccum?) – alternate VP Fiorina. Dems: Clintron as President, unknown as VP. Perhaps a governor from a swing state. Sanders – can’t run as a Dem. I am amazed that no one is talking about the fact that he is a registered Independent. He can’t be on the primary ballot in many key states (think NH or 5 of the 6 Super South states) unless the state Democratic Party Committees pass a motion to permit it – Clinton has those… Read more »
TheObserver
Guest

Elections in this country are won or loss in the south. The Confederate flag has enraged so many it is scary. The flag rally at Stone Mountain in Georgia had heavily armed people show up. It came within sight of going out of control.

Nighthawk
Guest

I might, or might not, have been one of those people.

SJW75126
Guest

Yes – it is indicative of the Republican Southern Strategy losing steam. Who would have thought it would take this long to take down a flag that is roughly the US equivalent to a Swastika?

One of the things I am looking forward to before I pass on into the great nothingness, is the final death of Dixie. Can you hear the death rattle?

snelson134
Guest

Since the Southern Strategy was debunked long ago, the rest of your analogy is equally inaccurate. If Dixie is dying, why are people moving there from blue heavens like CA?

David MacKinnon
Guest

Snelson,
SJW numbers has already stated he is one of those Blue Boils that infect the anus of the great state of Texas. My guess is that he would not be a native but some socialist hell hole transplant, and knows from personal experience what you are talking about. And, you just used logic and common sense against a Liberal. They are immune.

snelson134
Guest

He’s a chew toy; I’m posting for the spectators.

Eric Weder
Guest
David macKinnon
Guest

Fine Eric, I’ll concede the point.
Maybe all Liberals are not Social Justice Warriors.
However, every last stinking Social Justice Warrior IS a Liberal.
So sorry if we failed to make that oh so fine distinction.

Patrick Chester
Guest

Now, now. Can’t expect the drone to go off script. Too much of a strain on SJW’s poor overworked neural net.

Mike
Guest

I don’t know about the Southern Strategy being over – if a candidate w/p/s in the first primaries (NH, IW etc.) and then sweeps Southern State Super Tuesday on 1 March (FLA, TX, GA etc.) that is likely game, set and match.

If the ‘classified material on her server’ imbroglio sticks to Clinton, then expect Biden to step in.

nomen nescio
Guest

Not trying to be That Guy, but I have noticed over the years that all the exact same people who hate the Confederate Flag hate the American flag too, for all the exact same reasons.

TheWriterInBlack
Guest

he exact same people who hate the Confederate Flag hate the American flag too

Not exactly concurrent sets but a lot of overlap.

BobtheRegisterredFool
Guest
BobtheRegisterredFool
I dislike the flags of the CSA because I hate the Democratic Party, and have little regard for their attempt to take their marbles and go home. The folks who want to dig up the dead and deface memorials are being hypocritical, because they are not cleanly sweeping all signs of the Democratic Party from the record. They aren’t proposing that Wilson, FDR, and JFK, fraudulently elected by white supremacists, be erased from history, so they are clearly picking and choosing what is convenient now. Secondly, the six flags over Texas are Spain, France, Mexico, Texas, CSA and USA. The… Read more »
Patrick Chester
Guest

You are consumed by the thoughts of something/someone you hate being destroyed, and yet think you are a good person?

Joe in PNG
Guest

SJW Numbers- You really should go and read Hunter S. Thompson’s “Fear and Loathing on the Campaign Trail ’72”.
At the end, when asked for his analysis of the McGovern loss, he does not jump on the Southern Strategy/Racist Poopyheads bandwagon.

TallDave
Guest

The Republican Southern Strategy was to invade, burn everything between Atlanta and Savannah, end slavery, and eventually capture huge numbers of voters when their incomes rose in the late twentieth century.

Ingenious, really.

Doug Loss
Guest

Oh come on. You can’t possibly be dense enough to believe the lies you spew here.

Joe in PNG
Guest

I’m sensing college sophomore. The sneering condescension despite a demonstrable lack of knowledge, the painfully apparent lack of real world knowledge and experience, and the obvious parroting of talking points he does not understand all point to this.
Which is to be expected- many of us were smug little know-it-all gits at that rather naive stage of life.

Doug Loss
Guest

You do know you’re talking about the Democrats, right? When have they ever bothered to follow their stated rules when what the want to do is in conflict with those rules? If the Dems see Hilary tanking, those rules will mean nothing.

SirBrass
Guest

What scares me is if Trump goes Perot and decided to run as a 3rd party candidate and basically splits the non-hilary voters, thus guaranteeing a Hilary win.

And Cruz is the man I want in the first place and have wanted for quite a while now.

Joshua
Guest

At this point, who cares? The Hildabeast is unlikely to be any worse than Obama, and only marginally worse than ¡Jeb! would be. I doubt American’s problems are going to be fixed at the ballot box.

Wes S
Guest

I’ve pretty much resolved that if Jeb and Hillary are coronated as the nominees, or if it’s Jeb, Hillary and Trump, I’m going to vote “Hemp Ropes and Streetlights” on the presidential write-in ballot.

Because in a sane America none of those three would be anywhere near the nomination . . . and the country’s screwed whichever one of them wins.

John Van Stry
Guest

Trump won’t run as a third party, he just refused to say he wouldn’t, because he knew it would raise more attention if he did that. The only reason Perot ran was because he HATED BUSH PERSONALLY. He had no intentions of ever winning (Perot was an ass like that I’ve been told by people who worked for him), he just wanted to make sure that Bush did NOT win.
Trump knows as a third party he couldn’t win, an he won’t throw his money away like that.

Nah
Guest

Perot ran because Clinton bribed him to split the GOP vote.

JSF001
Guest
Your assuming he would be planning on winning. As Larry Corria mentioned he isn’t really a republican. He supports most of the democrats platforms, and has donated plenty of money to the Clintons. He could simply be purposely splitting the republican vote to guarantee Hillary wins. Sure it might cost a bunch of money initially, but I bet Trump could still turn around and make a bunch of his money back off of a “failed” presidential bid, maybe even turn a profit. On top of that having the president personally owe him for her win, would be an extremely valuable… Read more »
Josh
Guest
Larry, As an Ohioan I can assure you that Kaisich is as establishment as Yeb and Christie. In fact, he is probably more so. This is the guy who expanded Medicaid in Ohio and said that his faith was the reason he had to do it. The real reason is he wanted that sweet sweet federal cash to make it look like he balanced the budget. In 2017 when that money dries up it is going to make our state budget look worse than when he started out. I hope you are right about Cruz. He will mop the floor… Read more »
Suburbanbanshee
Guest

Kasich isn’t a bad guy, per se, and he is clear on the fact that he’s a Republican and not a Democrat. But otherwise… eh.

OTOH, he has a really good combat accountant for State Treasurer, and he’s made some other good picks. He’s not out committing felonies every day, either, and he’s clear on the fact he’s elected. So he’s definitely not the worst thing that could happen.

Josh
Guest

I will agree with you on Josh Mandell. His website that shows every check the state writes and to whom is one of the greatest ideas ever. I am really not a Kaisich fan though. He is not a criminal but he quickly abandoned many of the promises he made the base to get elected the first time. I think the reason he got reelected had more to do with his lack of opposition within his party and from the criminal democrat who ran against him.

AuricTech
Guest

“I hope you are right about Cruz. He will mop the floor with Hilary if he can get her to show up to a debate.”

Hillary, on why she backed out at the last minute on the first Cruz-Clinton debate:

“I unexpectedly had to launder the cash… I mean, launder the cat. Besides, at this point, what difference does it make?”

G.K. Masterson
Guest

I don’t disagree with your conclusion but would like to know your thoughts on why Cruz is outpolling Paul (I, like you, prefer Rand Paul over most of the others but don’t have too much of a problem with Cruz other than him being a bit of an unknown quantity in my books).

— G.K.

Joshua
Guest

More presidential hair? Nobody can imagine a President with hair that looks like that guy from the Pet Shop Boys.

Joshua
Guest

Also; Paul is weak on immigration, which is the Schwerpunkt issue right now. As Ann Coulter keeps saying, if we keep losing on immigration, nothing else much matters.

Cruz is my top pick, but he could really stand to learn a style lesson or two from Trump. He doesn’t have his charisma, but some of that can be learned.

G.K. Masterson
Guest

Yeah — I’m not too wild about any of their views on immigration. They all keep focusing on the Mexican border and I get it; that’s a hot-button big topic issue. I’m worried about the HB-1 visa issue thing, though, and how it’s gutting the STEM sector right now.

Stephen St. Onge
Guest

        Immigration is the issue that illustrates what modern politics is really about.  The culture of the U.S. is to be destroyed, by running in immigrants faster than we can assimilate them.

        And faced with the choice of doing something about this, or putting up with it, YOU ALL will put up with it.

Joshua
Guest
Yeah, sure. 95% of our LEGAL immigration is BS and fraud, and our immigration policy—both with regards to legal immigrants and illegal immigrants both—is societal suicide. Any candidate can have my vote if the adopt the following platform: Shut down the border hard. Take every EPA and IRS employee that hasn’t been jailed, give them a gun and put them on the border if they want a federal job. Tell them to shoot anything that crosses it, even if it’s just a jackrabbit. Nothing gets across. Take every immigrant—regardless of country of origin, legal status, ethnicity, or anything else—who’s on… Read more »
Leah
Guest
heh. when my family first came to US, on legal refugee visa (long story), we were on public assistance for a bit. I don’t think it was longer then maybe 6 months? but that gave us an opportunity to get situated, for my parents to brush up on their English (they tried to study it before moving, bless them, but its hard enough to learn a new language when you are older, its harder when you have few opportunities to practice with native speakers), update necessary licenses and find jobs, for me to find a job. going to be 20… Read more »
DaveP.
Guest

“…and in any case, unless you are native american? at some point, your family were also immigrants…”
Horseshit comment, unless you somehow think the Noble Savages evolved in Ohio.
Americans have every right to legislate who can and who can’t come into their country, and to demand the removal of those who came here illegally.

Peter O
Guest
I’ve got at least one decently-connected friend laying down Kasich as the eventual nominee. He’s arguing that the BIGGOP wing still has enough influence force to win, and that the rest of the factions will be too divided to pick a selection in time. Of the acceptable BIGGOP candidates, Bush/Christie/ Kasich/Rubio, Bush is too damaged of a brand & he’ll be jettisoned soon, Christie is too belligerent and not from a swing state, and Kasich is a governor with the resulting executive experience over Rubio. Kasich also has significant ties to the Bush administration, so He’ll be able to pick… Read more »
SJW75126
Guest

I hope your friend is wrong Peter. Kasich would be a formidable opponent and I want the other side to win. I don’t think he is going to make the mistake of adding a Sarah Palin to the ticket which bailed us out once before.

Jeff Gauch
Guest

Well that does it. No Kasich.

WyrdBard
Guest

Eh, don’t play mind games with folk like numbers up there. Do what they HATE. Research and make an informed decision.

Eric James Stone
Guest

I think your analysis is very realistic. Personally, I favor Fiorina, but I think she’s still a long-shot for the nomination.

T.L. Knighton
Guest

I personally like Rand Paul on a lot of things, but I don’t think he’s got a chance in hell. Two core issues for the GOP this cycle are foreign policy and immigration, and he’s vulnerable on both.

At this point, I have no prediction for the GOP side, but I think Biden has a real shot on the Dem side. He doesn’t have Hillary’s baggage and he’s not Bernie Sanders either.

Levi
Guest

I cannot believe that Biden has any chance at all at the Dem nomination and would be an instant loss in an election if it did happen. Not even the Dems take him seriously. No one else can claim to be the presidential candidate endorsed by Osama Bin Laden (see SOCOM-2012-0000019 obtained in the Abbottabad raid). One of the many examples of the incompetence of Obama was whatever cynicism (assassination insurance?) or irresponsibility led him to make Biden his VP.

SteveW
Guest

“Every time you share one of those, an accountant dies.” My first thought was “uh oh, Larry is an accountant.” Second was a mental image of Tom Stranger tossing less valuable accountants in front of Larry.

Bruce
Guest

Now if only we could find that for lawyers…

Kevin Findley
Guest

It’s called the Bill of Rights

kamas716
Guest

Nice summary.

Personally, I’d take Cruz, Walker, Paul, Rubio or Carson. I don’t think Trump is electable.

Joshua
Guest

I think the conventional wisdom about who is or isn’t “electable” has been backwards for years.

Zsuzsa
Guest

Just ask Presidents Kerry, McCain, and Romney.

Joshua
Guest

Or Reagan.

Henry Smith
Guest

Boy. All the Smart People are gonna look really stoopid when Trump gets the GOP nomination . Impossible! Can’t happen! Flash in the pan! Uh huh. You too, Larry, ya big lunkhead.

But relax: It’s going to be fun, and entertaining. Hillary will win, but she’ll win no matter who the GOP puts up. How do you compete with Free Stuff and Sit-on-your-Ass? THAT’S today’s winning platform!

TheObserver
Guest

…and meanwhile, back at the abortion clinic, more organs are harvested for resale.

Just like back in the 1940’s, just outside of town, humans were killed and burned to ashes in the millions.

Judgement is coming, irregardless of who is elected president.

jdgalt
Guest

Planned Parenthood did no wrong, and its so-called scandal is exactly the kind of red herring non-issue that the Left tosses out every election cycle to see if we’re stupid enough to waste effort on it. Please, just once, let’s not be.

Josh
Guest
@jdgalt You are missing the boat on this big time. Have you actually watched the videos or are you just glomming onto the narrative that they are doctored and aren’t really that bad? I know there is a segment of libertarians who think that social issues are losers. I can agree that there are some I simply don’t care about or think that the government shouldn’t be involved in to begin with. Abortion is one that I do care about and it is overwhelmingly unpopular with the general population when it comes to abortions at stages where the “fetus” looks… Read more »
snelson134
Guest

Since the organization that released them has NOTHING to do with the Left, and the unedited videos are stomach churning examples of both the “banality of Evil” and obvious violations of Federal law against abortion for body parts which no one who actually watched them would consider a red herring, you’ll understand why I’ll ignore your concern trolling.

Bibliotheca Servare
Guest

Still puzzled by the downvotes…unless it’s because of “irregardless” because…that’s just wrong. It’s *regardless* dangnabbit! Other than that, yeah. If folks who love near a PParenthood had to witness the more lucrative side of their business, they’d do the same thing that the townsfolk who lived next to concentration camps did in many cases once they were forced to face what they had ignored was happening right next door: eat a bullet. Mutilated infants have that effect.

WyrdBard
Guest

I think it may be more with the general attitude of ‘God is going to destroy us for our sins so don’t try’ that seemed rather rife in that post.

Bibliotheca Servare
Guest
Ohhh. Well, I read it more as “Genocide has a price, and, even if we stop the slaughter now, we’ll be paying that price, in guilt, in shame, and sure, in eventual examination by a higher power, regardless of who we elect.” I get that it’s not exactly a pretty picture to paint of the future, but honesty isn’t always pretty. Sure, I love my Nation, but I’m also fairly certain that the bad, sometimes horrific things that my Nation has, as an entity, allowed to be perpetrated within its borders, by people claiming to belong to it, have a… Read more »
Av willis
Guest
Carson was a big dissapointment for me. I loved his speech at the prayer breakfast a few years ago, and most of what I’ve heard from him was solid gold. Then Ferguson happened and he had to open his cheesepipe. Specifically, he went on record as feeling Wilson was justified in his shooting, (so far, so good, ) but that the whole scenario could have been prevented by training police to shoot for the legs. Don’t get me wrong, I don’t expect a doctor to know the finer points of use of force, but I expect him to have heard… Read more »
Zsuzsa
Guest

I’m thinking Carson could do more good as a cultural figure than a political one at this point. The job of getting our country back to the point where “more free stuff” is not our rallying cry is too big for just the politicians, and I’m thinking Carson could do a lot of good in that fight.

LittleRed1
Guest

Carson is very deliberate, which is what you want in a neurosurgeon. That’s not necessarily what looks good on camera, or comes across as rallying the troops.

David MacKinnon
Guest

Dr. Ben Carson as the Sec. of Education? He’s a great example of how far a thirst for learning can take a person, no matter how far down the totem pole they started. No better person to surgically remove the Progressive cancer infesting the Dept. of Education. I mean, its not like Brain surgery or anything 🙂

Jeff Gauch
Guest

Me, I want Mike Rowe as SecEd. For reasons beyond the head-exploding it would cause, but not many of them.

Alex
Guest

Surgeon General. The man can give a speech, which is mostly what Surgeons General do these days.

nomen nescio
Guest

Indeed. I, personally, think Dr. Carson would make a fine Surgeon General.

Jen
Guest
My ticket is Walker – Rubio. If the unions in Wisconsin haven’t managed to ruin Walker by now, it can’t be done. They couldn’t even find a way to make shit up about him – so in my opinion, he is untouchable. Walker also plays the “normal guy” card better than any of the rest. Rubio as Veep for one simple reason – FLORIDA. He may not bring in the Latino vote (what the hell does that even mean?) but he WILL get the Cuban vote in a critical swing state. (Side note: Normalizing relations with Cuba right now wasn’t… Read more »
Sianmink
Guest

Rubio is probably needed for the republicans to carry Florida, and Florida is essential in this election.

Joshua
Guest

Cruz isn’t firebrand enough. He needs to absorb some if Trump’s style to win. Your electability triangulation us what gave us Dole and McCain, and your brushoffs are what would give us another Reagan landslide.

Alex
Guest
If Cruz’s views on social issues are unacceptable to you, I can’t imagine how you stomach Rubio, whose views on abortion are to the right of Cruz’s (i.e., no exceptions at all). Then again, I stopped believing people actually believed their reasons for voting for someone way back in ’96. An acquaintance told me that he was voting Clinton/Gore over Dole because Gore was in the military. Clinton’s “I loathe the military”, the fact Gore was in the press pool smoking dope instead of seeing actual action, and the fact Dole was a freakin’ war hero with the physical disabilities… Read more »
boballab
Guest

“If Lindsey Graham got elected president I’d volunteer for that one way trip to Mars, and if that was a no go, I’d build my own rocket.”

This just in Scalzi registers as a Republican and comes out as a Lindsay Graham supporter.

Cara Halvorson
Guest

Cruz has a lot of backers from what I can tell. Even though I vote for him here in Texas I just don’t think I want him as president. He’s just too goofy. I like Walker. I’m hoping after all the poseurs fall away that he’s the man left standing.

And, “and he looks a lot like a young Grandpa Munster” damn near caused me to develop a hernia from laughing so hard!

Mark Olivares
Guest

Most awful possibility: With so many candidates, the primaries are all over the map, and no one emerges as a strong front-runner. We get a brokered convention, the conventions tells us You’ll Get Jeb and You’ll Like it. Hillary is elected in a landslide and makes Jeb her Pet Republican nano-weasel in charge of Open Borders as a reward.

So about that Mars probe, Larry, how big can it be and is Orion drive still on the table?

Stephen St. Onge
Guest

        Every campaign, someone talks about a brokered convention, and every convention since 1952, the guy who won the most support in the primaries gets the nomination on the first ballot.

        IT AIN’T GONNA HAPPEN.  Not today, not tomorrow, not ever, NEVER!

Hateful electrician
Guest

I think everyone is missing the obvious. The democratic candidate will be Barack Obama again, I’d be willing to bet on it.

Joseph Capdepon II
Guest

How does $5k sound? I take cash only. No checks.

snelson134
Guest

Don’t know about Barack, but there was a rumor for a while that Moochelle was going to run….

RemnantPsyche
Guest

If she doesn’t run for office now, I feel comfortable predicting she will later. Automatic votes from the Obama congregation, endless “historic!” fawning by the media and leftoids… seems too good to pass up. That’s unless she really hates being in the spotlight as much as it was rumored at one point.

SJW75126
Guest

Fantasy rumors about Michelle are a fantasy past time for the right wing conspiracist. I am still waiting for that Video tape of her to come out and sink Obama’s chance at winning the election. That and Mitt Romney’s landslide.

snelson134
Guest

Idjit says what?

SJW75126
Guest

Yes you do.

Stephen St. Onge
Guest

I’ll take some of that action, assuming we can agree on a stakes holder.

Stuart the Viking
Guest

Every election cycle this same bullshit comes up. It’s either [outgoing pres] “is going to declare martial law and cancel the election” or “is going to use some loophole to run for a third term” (or military action, or executive order, or bla bla bla).

I had some progressive friends who were ABSOLUTELY CONVINCED that Bush Jr. was going to refuse to stand down after his 8 years and set himself up as Pres for Life.

It ain’t gonna happen.

Joe in PNG
Guest

I’m also pretty sure Obama wants out- he’s really not a guy that rolls with the punches, nor handles criticism well. Contrast Bill Clinton who seemed to thrive on negative press.

Nighthawk
Guest

I’m completely entertained by Trump.

It’s really too early for me to worry much about any of this. I believe there are 17 candidates? Hopefully soon one (or more) a week will start dropping out. I heard on the radio that Perry can’t pay his staff, so he may be one of the first to drop out.

Sianmink
Guest

As a nanotech-enhanced attack-weasel, I take offence at your assumption that I would work for a bat like Hillary.

TheWriterInBlack
Guest

Your prediction is pretty close to my best hope (best halfway realistic hope anyway–the odds of getting an ideologically libertarian candidate with a realistic view of foreign policy within even long range missile range of the candidacy are long at best).

My fear is Trump pulling a Perot, running as a third-party/independent while still mouthing at least a few conservative platitudes thereby splitting the conservative/libertarianish vote handing the White House to Hillary even _without_ fraud.

TheWriterInBlack
Guest

Guest? I thought I was a semi-regular. 😉

Achillea
Guest

It’s Guests all the way down.

Seanstr
Guest

I tend to agree with Larry. One more point on Cruz is that, next to Dr Carson (a brain surgeon), he is by far the smartest GOP candidate. I wish he had more of that Reagan-ish charisma, but I hope his pure intelligence can compensate.

David, internet troll
Guest
David, internet troll

I’ll take Jindal for $1000, Alex. He doesn’t get a lot of attention, but Jindal is a scary-smart geek boy. Unfortunately, he debates and comes across as a scary-smart geek boy, so he has almost no chance of being elected.

Bibliotheca Servare
Guest

Yeah, I was surprised how much I liked him when I did some research. He is a smart fellow. Sadly, you’re right, he isn’t likely to win a primary OR an election for president.

ConceptJunkie
Guest

I’ve really liked Bobby Jindal since he first became governor, but I don’t think there’s much chance of him going far.

Brian
Guest
I still expect Walker comes out ahead of Cruz as the candidate most likely to unite the party. From the talk I’ve seen, apart from the occasional idiot Trumpkin, no one on the right who’s heard of Walker actually opposes him. He’s a second or third choice for a lot of conservatives, but no lower than that. And of the major Republican factions, Walker’s the only one that doesn’t turn off any of them: Establishment/pragmatic Republicans: Favor Jeb/Christie/Kasich, OK with Walker/Fiorina/Carson/Huckabee, opposed to Cruz/Paul/Rubio/Trump Religious conservatives: Favor Huckabee/Walker/Cruz, OK with Jeb/Rubio/Fiorina/Carson/Kasich, opposed to Trump/Paul/Christie Libertarians: Favor Paul/Cruz/Walker, OK with Fiorina/Carson/Rubio,… Read more »
Nohbody
Guest
(Still getting that stupid “social plugin not configured” thing, grumble grumble…) While I’m in no way a Trump fan, I have noted one particularly amusing side effect of his candidacy. On another forum (won’t link or identify it, they’re tetchy about importing or exporting drama), the majority of the members apparently think he’s the lefty equivalent of the Antichrist, or at least the bogey man the way they talk about how the Sanders/BLS thing makes a Trump or Cruz presidency a certainty. It amuses me (possibly too much so) that something that’s so unlikely as Trump actually making it to… Read more »
Nighthawk
Guest

It’s really funny how bent out of shape people are getting over Trump. So far he’s able to put both feet in his mouth and come out smelling like a rose. But eventually, he’ll do himself in with something or another.

Glytch
Guest

Unfortunately the only way to get someone to do the job well would be to elect an honorable, hard-working individual who doesn’t want the job…

Kevin Findley
Guest

Yep. What this country needs is our version of Cincinnatus. I say we draft Larry!

trackback

[…] Correia on the candidates. Worth reading just for the Chris Christie gags. […]

Adam Lawson
Guest

“Lindsey Graham… Holy shit, just shoot me now. If Lindsey Graham got elected president I’d volunteer for that one way trip to Mars, and if that was a no go, I’d build my own rocket.”

And I’ll volunteer to help.

In 2008 I told all my friends, “If McCain picks Graham as his VP candidate, I will vote Democrat out of spite.” If he’s the nominee: I will vote Democrat out of spite.

Cadeyrn
Guest
Regrettably, I don’t think the Republicans have anyone who can beat Hillary. The race is quite literally hers to lose. The question is: why? There are two reasons in my mind: 1) The Republicans don’t have an actual platform other than “We’re not those people!” and 2) what platform the Republicans have is antithetical to concepts of liberty and freedom. They desperately need to win because a) Congress is up for grabs, and b) lots of Supreme Court justices may retire or die and then be nominated by the next President thereby potentially shifting the balance of the Supreme Court… Read more »
snelson134
Guest

“Universal healthcare” is not a “social issue”, it’s a “we can’t afford it” issue.

Cadeyrn
Guest

It is an appropriation of private and public funds to buy votes. The government denied it was a tax, but the only way the Supremes could contort the case to be even plausibly Constitutional was to find that it was, in fact, a tax. They should have proceeded to the rational conclusion that, since the government denied it was a tax, it was not presented to the public as a tax, therefore it could not be sustained as a tax and had to be struck down. Still, it’s all water under the bridge, over and done.

David MacKinnon
Guest

Cadeyrn,
Yeah, its a damn shame Republicans didn’t just win the mid terms in an epic landslide. Your so right that wanting less soul crushing big government makes people less free. If that pesky George Washington had only given up that lost fight 250 years ago, to smoke a bowl, why…. We’d all still be good little subjects of the Queen!
I do however, totally agree with you about CCW, so I won’t tell you to just fuck off.

Bugmaster
Guest
I personally would love to see a candidate who runs, and wins, based on a platform of individual liberty; I just don’t think it is very likely to happen. Both parties have drawn fairly arbitrary lines in the sand, and polarized the voters around them. Republicans are against gay marriage, Democrats are for it. Democrats are for abortion; Republicans are against it. Republicans love guns; Democrats hate guns. And so on. Every election cycle, both parties energize their base by screaming about their stock set of issues as loudly as you can. Democrats are all bloodthirsty baby-killing monsters ! Republicans… Read more »
Cadeyrn
Guest

Largely correct. Also, the NSA has co-opted all of the politicians. Is it even possible for them to vote to restrict domestic spying? Problematic.

WyrdBard
Guest

You give them waaaaay too much credit. Way, way, way too much credit.

Stephen St. Onge
Guest

        Ah, the great Supreme Court mirage.  It never dies.

        It doesn’t matter which party wins the White House, or which people get put on the Court.  The decisions will amount to ‘the Progressive platform is required by the Constitution’.  When the crunch comes, its conservatism who get crunched, always.

SJW75126
Guest

Well yes – there is a right to liberty.

But conservatism doesn’t always get crunched. There is that Citizen’s United decision.

nomen nescio
Guest
And a relative tiny handful of recent decisions like DC vs. Heller that have deceived, sad to say, the pro-gun-rights people into thinking there’s been a sea change. For example, in my opinion Heller vs. DC was symbolic only, in the sense that Federal court orders pertaining to it are even now being contemptuously ignored by the governments of not only Chicago (see also, McDonald vs. Chicago) but Washington DC, against whom the decision was handed down seven (7) years ago. Nothing is happening. No consequences are being created. The Supreme Court is refusing to take up further firearms-related cases… Read more »
SJW75126
Guest
The second amendment should be repealed. It really is an awful goof. Seems that Hamilton was right and Jefferson was wrong. We had a constitution. We didn’t need a bill of rights. The second amendment does not say “guns”. It says arms. And it says that the right to those arms cannot be infringed. It literally grants Donald Trump the right to a hydrogen bomb – or anyone else. No – one can’t limit guns such as assault weapons under the second amendment. Nor any other kind of weapon. Or …. we could just say the founders didn’t mean what… Read more »
nomen nescio
Guest
“but but but nuclear weapons” is a red herring. Nuclear weapons are so expensive and resource-intensive that creating one requires the resources of a nation-state, and success still eludes many nations after decades of research. Otherwise? I rather like having rights, thank you very much. But to get to the root of the matter: Citizens are armed, because a state can only exist legitimately at the pleasure of the citizenry and not one instant longer. The people must maintain the balance of power and no government can ever be given a monopoly on the means or use of force; such… Read more »
gmmay
Guest

You do realize that there’s more in the BoR than the right to bear arms?

Love the silly H-bomb canard. But it’s good to see you demonstrate that you understand the 2nd Amendment.

You can tell that when the H-bomb ploy gets trotted out that someone’s getting desperate.

Always good for a laugh. Thanks.

SJW75126
Guest
I do. So did Hamilton. But Hamilton’s argument was… well let Hamilton explain it to you… “It has been several times truly remarked, that bills of rights are in their origin, stipulations between kings and their subjects, abridgments of prerogative in favor of privilege, reservations of rights not surrendered to the prince. Such was Magna Carta, obtained by the Barons, sword in hand, from king John…It is evident, therefore, that according to their primitive signification, they have no application to constitutions professedly founded upon the power of the people, and executed by their immediate representatives and servants. Here, in strictness,… Read more »
Bibliotheca Servare
Guest
The right to murder for conveniences sake is most certainly *not* enshrined within the Constitution. Indeed, the right of each and every citizen to not have their life, their very breath, stolen from them by callous, selfish, monstrous tyrants such as yourself is one of, if not *the* fundamental principles within that Constitution. Just because a toddler has his or her voice stolen, his or her lungs ripped out, and a woman forcibly links him/her to her body, making that toddler incapable of surviving for nine months without her body, does not make that voiceless, lungless little girl or boy… Read more »
SJW75126
Guest

Bib wrote: ” Or maybe you’ll call them “blastocysts” or “clumps of cells”…”

That would be correct at a stage of development. A fertilized egg isn’t a person. An abortion isn’t murder. You are welcome to your opinion however and my advice would be for you to not have an abortion. We call that “choice”.

You know it is rather funny. Getting all riled up because others don’t share your opinion is what the pup packs are all about, yes?

TheWriterInBlack
Guest

You are welcome to your opinion however and my advice would be for you to not have an abortion. We call that “choice”.

Does that apply to other things? Don’t like guns, don’t get one? Don’t like theft, don’t steal? Don’t like rape, don’t commit it? No need to pass laws against them.

Or maybe “don’t like X don’t do it” isn’t the automatic “answer” you feel* it is.

*started to type “think” there but “thinking” has little to nothing to do with your posts.

snelson134
Guest

Issued that apology to Mengele yet?

Doug Loss
Guest

You do know that you’re outing yourself as a complete lunatic here, right?

Patrick Chester
Guest

As to the second amendment – it is poorly thought out, poorly written and an all around bad idea. But it is what it is.

Ah, you’ve gotten to the “it’s true because I say so” level of desperation.

Did you have problems downloading the latest script?

TheWriterInBlack
Guest
As to the second amendment – it is poorly thought out, poorly written and an all around bad idea. Actually it’s quite clear, well written, and concise. That it doesn’t say what you want it to say does not change that. Sweetened condensed milk, being necessary to this recipe for key lime pie, the right of farmers, to keep and raise cows, shall not be infringed. Nobody but a complete idiot would suggest that the right to keep and raise cows put foward here was limited to sweetened condensed milk, that only the sweetened condensed milk has the right to… Read more »
SJW75126
Guest
Writer in Black said: ” Nobody but a complete idiot would suggest that the right to keep and raise cows put foward here was limited to sweetened condensed milk, that only the sweetened condensed milk has the right to keep and raise cows.” That’s a lot words to argue against a point I was not making. I actually agree with you that “shall not be infringed” means “shall not be infringed”. If you your neighbor wants to keep grenades, he can keep grenades. That’s why it needs to be repealed. What Scalia does is try to rationalize what kind of… Read more »
Doug Loss
Guest

Oh son, do you really think you have any possibility of repealing one of the amendments in the Bill of Rights? If you could even come close, you’d be fomenting another civil war. And trust me, your side wouldn’t be the winners.

Bibliotheca Servare
Guest

Indeed. But maybe SJWnumbers *wants* to spark off a second civil war. I really don’t know.

TheWriterInBlack
Guest
“poorly thought out, poorly written” And that’s bullshit. It means exactly what it says, exactly what it’s intended to say, and serves the exact purpose it’s intended to serve. It’s only idiots who desperately want it to mean something else that find it at all confusing. Grenades? Did you know that the army has a training manual on improvised weapons that includes both homemade firearms and homemade explosives? It’s ostensible purpose is use by special forces to train foreign insurgents but it’s available online. I have it in PDF. That manual includes explosives manufacture using ordinary, readily available, chemicals. If… Read more »
Joe in PNG
Guest
Actually, at the time of writing, common citizens could own cutting edge “military” hardware like cannon, canister and grapeshot for same, warships, ect. Don’t forget the BOR was written by people who had just finished a revolution, who had a distrust of standing armies, and who modeled their new government after the best points of the Roman Republic. One of those points was civic militarism- where the citizens possessed arms and fought for the state directly in times of need. Or, if needed, they could throw out a government grown corrupt or abusive (King Tarquin for instance). Remember, professional standing… Read more »
Bibliotheca Servare
Guest
Nicely put. Also, there were pistols with 10+ barrels in use at the time (pepperbox) and even a primitive Gatling gun! (Idk if you know this, Jo, but I’m assuming our friendly neighborhood anti-gun-nut doesn’t) Single shot muskets were common, sure, but the Founders were knowledgeable mem, and were well aware of just how dangerous and destructive weaponry could be and how much more dangerous it could get. That was their point. If you want to remake the Constitution, that’s one thing, and I’ll be happy to fight to prevent it. But saying “it doesn’t matter, because ‘the future!'” is… Read more »
Bibliotheca Servare
Guest

Never mind. Found it. Sheeeit I’m a little scared to know how easy this is to find! Forget 3D printed pistols, the feds should be shitting themselves over *this*! *shiver*

Bibliotheca Servare
Guest

Ahem…PDF? Ya don’t say… That wouldn’t be an easy PDF to find, would it? I’ve made black powder, but it’s never a bad idea to know *more* ways to make things go bang. In my opinion, of course.

nomen nescio
Guest

What if rights are the obligations of the state to the citizen under the social contract?

gmmay
Guest

Thankfully others have chimed in to school you once again on writings you barely understand, let alone have read comprehensively.

So much bullshitting just to try a bait and switch with gay marriage.

Your trolling loses its punch when it gets this schizophrenic.

TheWriterInBlack
Guest
Nuclear weapons are ridiculously expensive and, even with current restrictions, it’s only that rather extensive, and large, infrastructure is needed to produce them that keeps them out of private hands. And despite all that if someone like Trump really wanted a nuclear weapon I suspect that they would have one, restrictions or no. Yet what would he want it for? What possible reason would justify a wealthy businessman spending that much money on a nuke? It doesn’t make money for him. It doesn’t increase his “quality of life”. He’s not threatened by foes that the deterrent effect of nuclear reprisal… Read more »
SJW75126
Guest
Hamilton has become my favorite. To me his vision of the nation and then later his vision of the constitution seems to be the correct one. To see that one should read Scalia’s dissent in the Lawrence case. This is a case about gay rights and their liberty to express their affection to each other. Scalia is on the wrong side of that case and if you read his dissent you have him arguing for state police powers to be able to regulate masturbation. What a novel argument from a justice. Not so novel for conservatives in Texas. The Texas… Read more »
Alex
Guest

If Hamilton were your favorite, you couldn’t be a leftist.

Unless you mean that phase where he wanted a monarch over the new United States…

TheWriterInBlack
Guest
And yet Hamilton was a strict constructionist, the Federal government has no power not explicitly granted to it in the Constitution. The first Amendment was unnecessary because The Feds weren’t granted any power to regulate speech, the press, religion, etc. The second unnecessary becuase they were not granted the power to regulate arms. And so on. If Hamilton is your favorite how can you possibly support any of the 99% (at least) of the stuff the Federal government is doing that isn’t listed in the Constitution? Or maybe you’re just taking a Humpty Dumpty approach to words, “a word means… Read more »
SJW75126
Guest
Writer in Black Said: “If Hamilton is your favorite how can you possibly support any of the 99% (at least) of the stuff the Federal government is doing that isn’t listed in the Constitution?” To Writer in Black: You know – it is nice to read a well thought out argument without animosity. Thank you for that. To answer your question, consider the Jefferson/Hamilton debate over the establishment of a National Bank. Jefferson arguing that the word “necessary” means required and Hamilton saying that “necessary” in that since would be nugatory. “Necessary” often means no more than useful according to… Read more »
Doug Loss
Guest
“Settled by decision?” No such a thing. Decisions, especially at the Supreme Court level, have not been eternal and immutable. They have been overturned, and can be again. As to the Constitution not being a statue, of course it isn’t, no one ever maintained that. What it is, is a contract between the people, the states, and the federal government. The various clauses of this contract have been more or less observed over the past 2+ centuries, but have now been fairly comprehensively violated by the federal government. Such violation in any other contractual arrangement would cause the contract to… Read more »
Doug Loss
Guest

Of course he’s your favorite. He advocated a strong central government with all control flowing down, rather than a federal system with substantial authority staying with state and local governments. You statists are all alike.

gmmay
Guest
Your commentary is an elegant synthesis of both Brandolini’s and Poe’s Laws. I know you’re trolling, but I just can’t resist jumping on the Correct SJW90210 Train. No one was denying gays the right to express themselves through marriage. Gays have always been able to get married. They have always been able to enter into legal contracts with one another. So please, spare us all the beauty pageant argument about “affection”. Submit it for a GEICO commercial. Lawrence was never about affection, no matter how many Hallmark cards Kennedy ripped off in his Opinion. To avoid Brandolini’s law and save… Read more »
Doug Loss
Guest

You must know that you can’t possibly win on that position. Are you really stupid enough to try?

Patrick Chester
Guest

Wow, you just really need attention, don’t you?

Patrick Chester
Guest

Oh look, another “reasonable” “surrender to your doom” posting.

*rolleyes*

Nighthawk
Guest

Yep. None of them are seeing what Trump is exposing. The big issues at this moment are immigration and PC. Not the Libertarian dream list.

Lotharloo
Guest
@Caderyn: After reading pages of comments, this is the first really smart one that I see. Completely correct. GOP should look at Canada and see how Harper constantly kept winning elections by ignoring social red herring issues like gay rights and abortions. It is time to move on. Gay marriage is accepted by all except the older generations who are beginning to die out, luckily. Going against gay marriage will also lose independent votes who have conservative economical leanings but progressive social leanings. Yeah, but it won’t be happening this time. If somehow the GOP nominee wins, it’s because of… Read more »
Doug Loss
Guest

Dream on. You’re living in the standard leftist fantasy world; those of us here in the real world know that you’ve opinions aren’t remotely based on reality.

Lotharloo
Guest

Rob Corddry coined the phrase “facts have a well-known liberal bias” and it is true in this case:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/169640/sex-marriage-support-reaches-new-high.aspx
Running on social causes such as opposition to gay rights is doomed and the generation who likes such tactics is dying out.

Achillea
Guest

That’s about the only case it’s true. The vast majority of the time, reality skews hard to the right.

Joe in PNG
Guest

Funny enough, I’d say that the “Right” is moving in a more Libertarian direction, while the Left is sliding towards Statism.
(If I wanted to get really nasty, I’d mention that “returning to Statism would be a better way to express that thought. SJ Numbers may go on regarding the ‘Southern Strategy’, but remember that Mao, a definite Leftist, was murdering millions.

Doug Loss
Guest

Polls are, by their very nature, ephemeral. Furthermore, it’s well known that virtually any result desired can be obtained by tailoring the questions properly. The only reasonable conclusion is that you’re pushing your agenda and hoping that no one recognizes the weakness of your argument. Well, or that you are deluded enough not to get that yourself.

Patrick Chester
Guest

Polls can be tailored to “prove” a view is “correct” based upon whom you poll. The possibility of people answering polls not giving an honest answer (“Do you own guns?” “Nope!”) seems to be deliberately ignored as well.

Though I do wonder why, if gay marriage is so popular, why their advocates haven’t won many statewide referendums and in fact have used the courts to impose it?

gmmay
Guest

And yet it seems to fail by large margins every time it was put to a vote. So do I believe your polls, or the actual votes?

Might want to re-evaluate your understanding of bias.

Patrick Chester
Guest

Judging from the flash mobs and use of lawfare against people who disagree with gay marriage I wonder how many in the polls Lothy handwaves about include people who said “yes” because they were afraid they’d attract attention and get their lives ruined?

Sort of how some progs crow about “polls” saying gun ownership is low… except would you answer a question from a stranger on whether or not you were armed?

(“I maxed out my Mass Effect 3 Multiplayer manifest a few weeks ago, does that count?”)

Bibliotheca Servare
Guest

Indeed. When you need to resort to judicial fiat to impose your views upon the citizenry, after failing to do so via majority vote, you can be fairly certain your view is not the majority view. Delusional/doctored polls are irrelevant beside real-world evidence of majority opposition to the views the poll suggests have majority support. If polls say one thing and ballots another, the polls are quite obviously wrong. Especially considering how much voter participation is witnessed during votes about such divisive issues.

gmmay
Guest

I would also like to note that the last Republican president quite famously courted his evangelical (socially conservative) base and won two terms.

Now, you can make assertions about who’s electable and who’s not, and that’s all fine and dandy, but if you don’t have an ounce of reliable data or relevant examples to back up your claim, don’t pretend your unfounded assertions are smarter than anyone else’s.

Shadowdancer
Guest

Sort of like when the government declared that Portuguese are Latino, and I was all like MWA HA HA HAAAAA I’M OFFICIALLY A MINORITY and they were all like oh shit what have we done?

*sniggerfit*

Cruz or Paul, from the very few times I’ve glanced at American politics lately, would be likely, but I’m in Australia so take it with an ocean’s worth of salt.

Hillary for Prison 2016
Guest
Hillary for Prison 2016
I’ve always thought the nominee would ultimately be Creepy Uncle Joe. I’ve heard that BamBam gave Hillary the nod, but there’s too much acrimony and he really doesn’t like Bill. Shrillary can’t concentrate on running for President if she’s fighting to stay out of prison, and who else is going to have a chance at the nomination? Bernie? Nope, I’ve thought all along that Creepy Uncle Joe was biding his time and would jump in after Billary was knocked out of the running. Heck, she has enough scandals to her name that they could dredge up a new one every… Read more »
junior
Guest

I think it was Maureen Dowd who had a story the other day about Biden visiting his son Beau in the hospital, and promising that he’d win the White House.

That kind of story doesn’t get floated unless the person in question is thinking about running.

SJW75126
Guest

Funny you mention prison. In Texas our attorney general Ken Paxton and former Governor Rick Perry are under indictment. Dear Ken was just told to allow recognition of gay marriage on death certificates of same sex couples or face a contempt charge.

Justin
Guest

Yes, and?

Doug Loss
Guest

Are you talking Ronny Earle again? What a clown. No one takes him seriously; he’s just an annoyance.

snelson134
Guest

Perry’s already had one indictment tossed and the other is pending.

Patrick Chester
Guest

Ah, but if they keep shopping around for the right jury maybe one of them will stick.

Justice, SJW-style!

Achillea
Guest

Even the lefties over at Popehat bitchslapped the Perry indictments.

Patrick Chester
Guest

Ah, but SJW loves his show trials.

JP Kalishek
Guest
Been doing the Trump/Ronulan comparison for a while now myself. “But, but … Border!” yeah, what about his gun grabbing supporting, Kelo loving, friends with the Clintons, etc. etc? “But Border!” So far, prefer Walker. Like you, not sure he’ll get the nom. I’d be happy with Cruz. For that matter Perry, Rubio, or Jindal would be okay with me. I have issues with the others, or like you think “Why are you running? (Kasich sp?)” though I don’t doubt most of the Repub field would be better than 0bama. It’d take some work to be worse (but I do… Read more »
Bugmaster
Guest
Speaking as a pinko commie socialist godless leftist, I’d much rather vote for someone like Bernie Sanders than for Hillary. Hillary isn’t even a candidate; she’s just a moderately complex device explicitly designed to channel corporate donations directly into policy. Which, I suppose, is somewhat refreshing in a free-market kind of way, but being a pinko commie, I think that letting government policy go to the highest bidder is not a great idea. That said though, I’m not convinced by your arguments against Jeb. From what I understand — and I don’t have many conservative friends, so I could be… Read more »
Achillea
Guest

Absolutely nobody with the last name Bush is going to pick up the ‘moderate’ vote, even if he’s not even related. Whoever it was above who called the name a damaged brand was spot on. It may not be fair, but that’s the reality.

Bugmaster
Guest

Yeah that is a good point. Somehow I assumed that the Bush name was mud only among Democrats, but on reflection you are probably right.

Achillea
Guest

Most (albeit not all) moderates are low-information voters. They’re not passionate about, or even particularly interested in, any of the issues, so they can’t be bothered to research the candidates. They just believe whatever the MSM sends to their TVs, and the MSM spent eight straight years hurling made-up mud at Bush like meth-crazed poo-flinging monkeys. So ‘mud’ is all a large proportion of the ‘moderates’ remember/’know’ about Bush, and that will transfer in their apathetic little minds.

Peter O
Guest

Look into Kasich. He’s from the Bush political tree, without the name problems.

nomen nescio
Guest

“but at the end of the day, the base is going to vote for whomever has…”

There are people out there who refuse to hold their noses and vote for candidates who regard the party’s base with open contempt. Given the rather low turn-out numbers in election after election, I suspect there may be a lot more people in this category than is commonly thought. I can’t prove that, of course. But I suspect it to be the case.

Matthew
Guest

I think it will be Walker, watching the debates I couldn’t help but notice his face when trump was talking and trumps face when Walker was talking. I see trump gaining a rather large group of minions and supporters, but not quite large enough to when the ticket, then throwing his support over to Walker who walks (pun intended) away with the nomination. Personally Rand MIGHT convince me to vote republican, but the rest of the GOP can suck my libertarian snake

NjGunGuy
Guest

Obligatory Ron Paul 2016.

But seriously, whoever the next guy is, we’re just still ticking out the clock. I can see America’s “Romulus Augustus” being elected within the next few presidential election cycles.

BobtheRegisterredFool
Guest
BobtheRegisterredFool

Friends of Pat Buckman for President 2016

Greg "Blotto" Garrett
Guest
Greg "Blotto" Garrett
Trump is short-attention-span theater, and unfortunately passes for entertainment in the modern era of “ooh, shiny…” news following. Every time Fox features him, an investigative journalist weeps, and the Fox producers wring their hands and cackle manically. Cruz and Paul are just too far in the libertarian camp to be elected, though Paul at least has managed to sound less extreme now that he has better handlers. Coming off of eight years of uncompromising socialist “my way or the highway” partisanship, I don’t think the answer is to counter it with eight years of uncompromising libertarian partisanship. As Edmund Burke… Read more »
Doug Loss
Guest

You’re really misreading the tenor of the populace if you think folks from the Tea Party movement would accept Jeb in any way. If the GOP elite force him upon the party, the base will just stay home as they did in 2012. As for Hilary, she’s got at best a 50/50 chance of getting the nomination. I’ve contended for over a year that she won’t be the Democrat nominee.

Marty Galyean
Guest
Obama is going to throw Hillary under the bus and put his own anointed forward at the behest of the old guard. Biden? Who knows. But Hillary is going to tank in the primaries. I agree about one of Cruz, Walker, and Rubio as a good bet for who will get the nomination. I like Cruz for his walk:talk ratio, PO’ing the RINO old guard, and being a staunch defender of the rule of constitutional law and civility in general. I hope he gets a coach that teaches him how to really smile. Like a smile that reaches his entire… Read more »
SJW75126
Guest
Please let it be Ted. Please – please – please… It won’t be Ted Cruz. Tea Partiers (and Tea Puppies) make a lot of noise but there isn’t that many of them. They do so because their world is changing . It will continue to change. I saw a bumper sticker that said “18% isn’t a minority”. I don’t know if Tea people are 18% but it is a pretty small group. BTW – Hillary is a centrist; people that say she is a socialist are just talking to their choir. I don’t know who the Republicans will nominate. My… Read more »
David MacKinnon
Guest

LOL!

I’d say welcome back, but isn’t there a bridge you need to be at and some goats in need of molesting?

🙂

gmmay
Guest
Facts just aren’t your strong suit are they? You do realize that the Tea Party has been largely responsible for one of the biggest electoral shifts in modern history, right? No, of course you don’t. That would be empirical evidence – something which seems to give you fits. Hillary is a centrist? Hillary is a corrupt crony capitalist who’s trying to bribe the young vote by offering free tuition. She’s really riding the fence on that one. Then again, I bet you believe phrases like “deficit neutral” too. Did you write anything that was actually supported by any evidence after… Read more »
Joshua
Guest

She’s a centrist in the sense that… well, Bill was kinda sorta a centrist, I suppose. And Establishment Republicans act pretty much the same as the Hildabeast; just not quite as blatantly.

But her rhetoric and actions are completely Marxist. She’s no centrist on any axis that is based on reality.

gmmay
Guest

Bill was only a centrist because he got dragged back that way by his congress. Back when the congress was still marginally useful and Presidents were still smart enough to feign ‘triangulation’.

If Obama were half as smart as Clinton, we’d probably already have a functioning Politburo in place. Obama’s only advantage over Clinton is his dick discipline.

Achillea
Guest

Hillary is a centrist in the sense that if you’re living in an SJW bubble dome on Pluto, Neptune is centrist.

Mark James
Guest

“BTW – Hillary is a centrist; people that say she is a socialist are just talking to their choir.”

Pop quiz; what are the differences between Hillary Clinton’s positions and those of admitted, proud, hardcore socialist Bernie Sanders?

nomen nescio
Guest
“The demographics are changing?” The demographics are BEING CHANGED. It’s planned. Deliberate. There’s a difference. People have noticed that they’re being colonized, marginalized, and displaced from the nation their ancestors built, by a tidal wave of tens of millions of criminal foreign invaders–the borders are wide open and every nation in South and Central America is emptying their prisons into America at Obama’s public invitation, even as he illegally prevents the Border Patrol and INS from doing their jobs and enforcing the law. Like the State in Berthold Brecht’s “The Solution,” the Democrats are dissolving the people and electing another.… Read more »
SJW75126
Guest

We noticed your angry. It isn’t changing back. Get over it.

gmmay
Guest

We? You got someone else bouncing around inside that little head of yours?

Nighthawk
Guest

Yes, he has Gollum, Gromit, Grover, Greenpeace, Green Eggs n Ham and other such things vying for control of his conciousness.

nomen nescio
Guest
The noted philosopher Yogi Berra once said, “When something can’t go on forever, that means sooner or later it’s gonna stop.” Either there’s a political solution or there isn’t one. But this can’t go on forever. And I would note that multiculturalism and wide-open borders killed Rome, killed Yugoslavia, are killing Western Europe, and–well, I don’t have a crystal ball, but I recall what Mr. Berra said, and I’ve read my history. Control of the borders and prevention of foreign invasion is what a state is for–it’s one of those things that’s so obvious and so fundamental that it’s not… Read more »
Joe in PNG
Guest

I’m sorry, but following the overblown outrage and murderporn following the death of Cecil the Lion, the Left has officially lost the right to the “You’re Angry” attack.

Doug Loss
Guest

Somehow I doubt you notice anything. If you did, you wouldn’t be so comprehensively wrong about everything.

Patrick Chester
Guest

Aw, how cute. The drone’s been told to try a lame attempt at reverse psychology.

Go back and get a better script.

Av willis
Guest

Hey, he didn’t come up with the Internet arguing checklist, he just follows it religiously.

Doug Loss
Guest

How do you manage to be so comprehensively wrong of every issue? Is it your superpower?

Jon Kanders
Guest

Of course it won’t be Ted Cruz. But the typical commenters on this site think Obama tried to invade Texas or something, so predicting Ted Cruz as the nominee seems eminently reasonably by comparison.

NFG
Guest

I don’t see how Hillary’s health problems are held off long enough for her to actually make it to the convention. I just can’t see her surviving the rigors of the campaign trail for even another 12 months.

Joshua
Guest

Especially as she continues to face mounting criticism. If her health issues really are, as Anonymous Conservative opines, the amygdala hijack of a toxic narcissist, then the campaign trail simply isn’t something that she’s going to be equipped to deal with. Especially not this year when voter anger is higher than its been in decades.

http://www.anonymousconservative.com/blog/narcissists-sociopaths-amygdalae-rabbits-and-sjws/

Nighthawk
Guest

And she’ll counter Biden’s son’s deathbed exhortation with begging Chelsey to step into her place and run and become the nominee.

tungsten carbide
Guest

NFW on Ted Cruz, Larry. Talk about economics, there is nobody in Wall St or Finance that would support the guy who put a gun to the head of the US economy by seriously threatening to trigger a default on US Treasury Obligations.. Quite the opposite. For the same reason that John Corzine did not go to prison, in the end Cruz will not get nominated, ever. Full stop.
And you should know that.

Doug Loss
Guest

Pardon those of us who vote if we laugh uproariously at you.

TallDave
Guest

Actually, even after CRS ruled Treasury already has the ability to prioritize spending, Congress specifically passed legislation that explicitly demanded Treasury NOT default in the event they were not able to borrow more, and there was no reason they should default given that revenues are many times interest payments.

The myth of default is one of the most pervasive on the left.

TheWriterInBlack
Guest

The only ones threatening to default was the Administration. The Administration deliberately and with malice aforethought set out to make the “shutdown” as painful as possible for the general public.

And the only people who don’t know that are the useful idiots fawning at the administration’s feet.

Patrick Chester
Guest

…are you sure the term “useful” can be accurately applied to those folk?

JMax
Guest

I’m still worried about Michelle Obama getting nominated after her husband is tragically injured by (according to the media) a right-wing terrorist. She’s at least as qualified as Zer0 was 8 years ago, and Valarie Jarrett gets to stay in command.

rd
Guest

I hope you are right. I hope it is Cruz. Walker or Jindal would also be O.K.

It might not be Hillary! if this e-mail fiasco is followed up honestly. I do not know if the FBI seized her e-mails to prosecute her for criminal actions, or just to hide them from disclosure to Judicial Watch for another few years?

I suppose it all comes down to “Who does Obama want to succeed him as President?”

Mark P
Guest

Clinton isn’t a socialist, Jeremy Corbyn the UKs possible future PM is.
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-33772024

snelson134
Guest

No, Clinton is a Fascist / corporatist,

Joshua
Guest

Which is a slightly different variety of Marxism than socialism. So, if you want to split hairs, then sure—she isn’t.

But what’s the point of splitting hairs? They’re both different heads of the same Marxist hydra.

Nighthawk
Guest

But now I feel vindicated of having referred to her as Hitlery all these years 😛

Mark P
Guest

Hitler, a Fascist, was also a ‘National Socialist’.
Hilary Clinton although ‘left of center’ in terms of US politics would be considered well to the right of center of almost the rest of the world.

From a non-US perspective there appears to be trivial difference between most of your prospective Presidential candidates. The main apparent difference seems to be in gun control.

Nighthawk
Guest

Newsflash: This is an election for the United States President. If you, as a foreigner, want a say in this election, put on a sombrero and get your behind across the Mexico border.

Doug Loss
Guest
Then you have no concept of politics in the US. And from our perspective, pretty much all of Europe is on the left, in that you have all accepted and internalized the statist imperative, where the government is the first thought in response to any perceived problem. For us, that defines the left. Our right is made up of individualists, who believe that any perceived problem should be handled at the lowest possible level, by individuals if possible, but then by freely-joined private organizations, then by local government, then by state government. The federal government should only have authority in… Read more »
FCinNH
Guest
Europe has *always* been statist and ruled by an aristocratic elite. First it was kings and emperors, princes and barons. Now it’s the EU which has little support from the common people but is run by the usual political establishment . There has always been a political class in Europe that ran the various countries, which is basically an inherited caste. We are starting to trend in the same direction; rather than citizen-politicians, we are now generating a class of politicals where children follow parents (see the Gores, the Kennedys, the Bushes, the Udalls and soon the Clintons.) It’s just… Read more »
TheWriterInBlack
Guest

Hilary Clinton although ‘left of center’ in terms of US politics would be considered well to the right of center of almost the rest of the world.

So much the worse for “almost the rest of the world”.

TheWriterInBlack
Guest

Basically, you’re saying “they all look alike to me.”

TallDave
Guest

That was even more true during the Cold War, when the median citizen of the world lived in a Communist dictatorship. Maybe we should consider the possibility the rest of the world is wrong.

gmmay
Guest
At this point, I might vote for Cruz. I haven’t completely written off Walker like I have Rubio. As for Trump, I think he’s useful. Is he a conservative? Obviously not. Republican? In name only. I think some criticism of him is fair and some isn’t. But his value comes from his ability to smoke out the rats. What has almost every other Republican candidate done in response to Trump? They’ve all danced like little monkeys to the tune of the Democrat organ grinders. They’re so focused on denouncing him instead of seizing the initiative that he’s given them on… Read more »
JP
Guest

It is Trump or Jeb. That’s it. If Trump drops out, the GOP establishment will easily destroy the rest of the non-entities.

And if it’s Jeb, then Hillary wins.

(Yes, Jeb is lame and boring and non-conservative and should not be the nominees. You know who else fit that description? Bush Sr. Bob Dole. John McCain. Mitt Romney.)

Emily Nelson
Guest

I want Ted Cruz to be the Republican nominee. But I don’t see how he could get it because the GOP establishment hates him and they control who gets the nomination.

Mark James
Guest

Funny and accurate predictions, Larry.

However, I’m afraid that an improvement over Obama, even the best possible one (Ted Cruz), might not be enough. With the Iran “deal”, we’re potentially looking at a Nuclear Holocaust, 100+ million dead, and World War 3 in a good 10-20 years.

Although the deal can certainly be rescinded, the $150 billion in aid remains, and the sanctions won’t be lifted by either Russia or China.

Wild Ape
Guest
Rush advanced an interesting theory that the crowds surrounding Bernie Sanders are similar in size and energy to Obama’s. Hillary was annointed to be the candidate back then too until Obama gained steam. There are more Democrats that don’t like Hillary than there are fans of Hillary. I think I agree with Rush on that. I admit that I’ve been voting for Trump on the polling but my real candidate of choice is Ted Cruz. I voted for Trump in the polls because he has made debating big issues possible and he fights like Cruz does. He has also thwarted… Read more »
Bubak
Guest
Thanks, Larry, for writing this. I just can’t decode US politics at all from over here. It all sounds to me as two right-wing sides argueing with each other. One has weird notion about almost no goverment other is so corporate focused that it stinks of Italian fascism. In the meantime our politics are getting either more socialist, it’s almost like getting laws in 1970 after Soviet intervention or getting sweet deals for bussinesman. Just read this wiki: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrej_Babi%C5%A1 And that’s our current Financial Minister. Few quotes about him from that wiki: “Babiš is the Minister of Finance in the… Read more »
gmmay
Guest
I wouldn’t say one side wants almost no government. That camp just wants government we can afford and the government we’re supposed to have by law. Not really an Out In The Wings concept when you really think about it, but damned if it doesn’t get portrayed that way. But that fairly large cohort isn’t very well represented by their nominal political leadership, despite the fact that they keep getting that leadership more and more power. Though I’d certainly disagree with the characterization that fascism/corporatism is a right wing feature for reasons too long to get into here, it’s just… Read more »
TRX
Guest

Hillary and her husband screwed over every Party member they ever dealt with… but that was 20 years ago, and memories have probably dimmed. And even where they’re fresh, most Democrats would vote for Satan Himself to keep the Republican Evil out of their rightful office.

Nominations can be passing strange, though. Over at Galactic Journeys it’s August 1960 and the Republican National Convention just finished up; the smart money was on Lodge, with Dirksen having a good following. When the smoke cleared Nixon had the brass ring and everyone was standing around going “whaaaat?”

Jason C.
Guest

You know this election cycle is weird when you find yourself looking at someone like Jim Webb and thinking “Damn, I wish he had a different letter after his name.”

M. Kupari
Guest

For the record, Larry, you’re the one who suggested a Costa Rican compound. I said a Trump vs. Sanders contest would be, quote, “hilarious”.

I can’t afford a compound, man! No, I’ll be in the robot soup line (powered by Google, and reporting dissent to Homeland Security) with the rest of the proles.

David MacKinnon
Guest

Actually, It may be Alphabet soup powered by Alphabet(tm). Google just opened a holding company by that name. Domestic spy drones? digital (automated?) voting machines? Sharks with freaking HEAD LAZORS?

Sounds like a mission for DEAD SIX!

Stop protecting our country (Thanks again for that) and get to writing! /crackwhip

James the Wanderer
Guest

“If you had to name three elected officials in the GOP who have been the biggest pain in the establishment GOP’s collective ass over the last few years, it would be Paul, Cruz, and Mike Lee …”
[I would add Rand Paul to the list, especially after his NSA filibuster (unless you discount all Congressional debates as theater, which they may be).]
” (that’s my senator! I don’t claim Hatch).”
[I look forward to the eventual disclosures about Hatch’s corruption, he’s compromised and we will find out how once he leaves office]

Robert Rucker
Guest

Larry, you forgot about Pataki! hahahhah

snelson134
Guest

Does Pataki’s wife remember about Pataki?

Achillea
Guest

Who? 😉

trackback

[…] (VD) I am entirely out of the business of predicting American election results, but the International Lord of Hate is entirely willing to stalk where the Supreme Dark Lord is disinclined to tread:My prediction is that the republican […]

Gene Lewis
Guest

Larry, This article is the first thing I’ve ever read by you. The humor was very good. I’ll now think about buying one of your books.

Nighthawk
Guest

Gene, you can’t go wrong with the first Monster Hunter International or Grimnoire Chronicle series.

TallDave
Guest

Looks like my post got eaten.

Anyways, to recap Cruz’s book is pretty good and he should win Texas which will give him a big leg up because the state is so much earlier this year. If he can stay competitive elsewhere I think TX makes him the nominee.

Also the GOP can’t win by trotting out “their” minorities because the GOP’s core is anti-identity politics. Cruz will win because he’s a great candidate and brilliant man, not because he’s Hispanic.

gingeroni
Guest

c4c test

Joe in PNG
Guest

The question I have is this- where’s the rising stars of the Democratic party?
The 2016 field is basically a small handful of aging white hippies.

Bugmaster
Guest

FWIW, I’m a liberal, and I pretty much don’t even care anymore. I would love to vote for some sort of a hippy, but I can’t, because none are running. Instead, what I’ve got is a finely-tuned corporate machine with a mere semblance of a human face; plus a bunch of random stragglers. These latter ones have some good ideas, and they seem passionate about their policies (as opposed to just being passionate about their campaign funds), but they have zero chance of getting anywhere, so they aren’t worth my time.

Doug Loss
Guest

Yeah, you’d better stay home on election day. And have a party to entice your leftist friends to stay home, too.

Bugmaster
Guest

What’s sad is that, even if I were to take your sarcastic comment at face value, it wouldn’t change much. I live in a Blue state, which means that no matter how I vote, my state is going to go to the official Democratic nominee. If I lived in a swing district in a swing state, that’d be a whole different story.

I would love to vote for someone who is committed to changing this deplorable state of affairs, but so far, no candidate from either party had stepped forth.

JSF001
Guest

Ok I am curious how you can say no candidates from either party have stepped who are committed to changing this deplorable state of affairs? Depending on what you actually consider to be wrong you have on the left you have Bernie Sanders and on the right Rand Paul (and personally I’d throw in Ted Cruz too but I am biased towards him so that could be affecting my judgment)

Bugmaster
Guest
Sanders pay lip service to campaign finance reform, which, to be fair, is better than nothing; but no amount of campaign finance reform will make your vote matter if you live in California or Alabama. Lawrence Lessig is IMO more committed to reforming electoral politics in general, but he’s not running for anything (and wouldn’t win if he did). I’m less informed about Rand Paul, but to me he sounds like “Ron Paul-lite”: more electability, less filling. He’s big on personal liberty issues (or, at least, so he says), as well as government spending, but he seems unconcerned with reforming… Read more »
Nighthawk
Guest

Bugmaster,
If you wan’t to spice up the primaries, offer to be a body guard for Bernie Sanders. Looks like he needs a few.

Bugmaster
Guest

Yeah, so another thing I’d love to see happen — which it never will — is a shift in media coverage away from gaffes, amusing incidents, and wardrobe minutiae; and toward the candidates’ stances on issues as well as their voting records. But I have a feeling that I’ll be riding my own personal unicorn to to work on the Moon before that happens…

Alex
Guest

Vote for Martin O’Malley. He wants to tax rain. Sounds hippy-dippy to me.

Cogitansiuvenis
Guest
” Of the other candidates, who else would they support? A regular Rand ally, or one of the bigger government types?” I think for more than few the answer will be no one. Rand Paul has had trouble retaining his fathers ardent supporters, but there is at least discussions amongst libertarians on why it is in their best interest to support Paul. There is non on Cruz whatsoever. There are also Teaparty types who consider Ted Cruzs support of the “Freedom” Act or initial support in regards to extending the patriot act as a complete non-starter. Honestly I think a… Read more »
Nighthawk
Guest

As long as they don’t vote Democrat.

The Nybbler
Guest

Sanders is the PBS candidate. That is, he’s the darling of the Masterpiece Theatre and NPR set. He’ll flame out early, like Howard Dean did in 2004.

Billc
Guest

I didn’t know where to post this…I was reading Masaad Ayoob’s blog…he wants to meet you. He is a big fan, though you may already know it.

FCin NH
Guest

Tell him Larry will be at Toadstool Bookshop in Milford, NH on October 29th. I believe Masaad lives in NH himself. I plan to be there myself, and heard a lot about Masaad and would love to meet him as well as Larry. It’s rare Larry get this deep into New England (especially the Live Free or Die state; Massachusetts hardly counts.)

Alyric
Guest
Alyric